예측

예측 허브
폴리마켓$53.4만 · D-56

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

온톨로지 접합 →

LEADING

77.0%

<5

  • <5-2.0pp77.0%
  • 5-6-0.5pp20.0%
  • 9-10+0.1pp0.5%
  • 7-8-0.1pp0.1%
  • 11-12-0.1pp0.1%
  • 13-140.1%
  • 15-160.1%
  • >16-0.3pp0.1%

TRAINING TICKET

가상 자금. 환금되지 않습니다. 지정가는 호가가 닿을 때까지 자금을 예약합니다.

잔고 $1000

포트폴리오 · 대기 주문

SYNTHETIC CLOB

스프레드 1¢

교육용 합성 호가창입니다. 실제 주문장에 연결하지 않습니다.

매수

  • 76¢1,451
  • 75¢1,226
  • 74¢984
  • 73¢470
  • 72¢386
  • 70¢178
  • 69¢150
  • 68¢121

매도

  • 78¢1,451
  • 79¢1,362
  • 80¢716
  • 81¢647
  • 82¢348
  • 84¢178
  • 85¢167
  • 86¢88

GAMMA INDEX

Polymarket Gamma 공개 호가. 원천 베팅 사이트로 보내지 않습니다.

거래량
$53.4만
24시간
$2954
유동성
$3.7만
해소
2027.01.01
결과 합
97.8%
오버라운드
-2.2pp
spacexspacescienceelon-muskrecurringclimate-science

RESOLUTION

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

유사 마켓