예측

예측 허브
폴리마켓선거$2.6만 · D-57

Government shutdown by...?

Government shutdown by...?

온톨로지 접합 →

LEADING

30.5%

December 31

  • December 31-10.0pp30.5%
  • December 12-7.5pp26.5%

TRAINING TICKET

가상 자금. 환금되지 않습니다. 지정가는 호가가 닿을 때까지 자금을 예약합니다.

잔고 $1000

포트폴리오 · 대기 주문

SYNTHETIC CLOB

스프레드 1¢

교육용 합성 호가창입니다. 실제 주문장에 연결하지 않습니다.

매수

  • 30¢1,819
  • 29¢1,536
  • 27¢1,234
  • 26¢590
  • 25¢484
  • 24¢223
  • 23¢188
  • 21¢151

매도

  • 31¢1,819
  • 32¢1,707
  • 34¢897
  • 35¢811
  • 36¢436
  • 37¢223
  • 38¢209
  • 40¢110

GAMMA INDEX

Polymarket Gamma 공개 호가. 원천 베팅 사이트로 보내지 않습니다.

거래량
$2.6만
24시간
$6748
유동성
$4.7만
해소
2027.01.01
결과 합
57.0%
오버라운드
-43.0pp
housesenate-electionscongresspoliticsgov-shutdowngovernment-shutdownpost-election

RESOLUTION

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees. A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse. A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown. Partial shutdowns qualify. A shutdown affecting one or more, but not all, federal agencies constitutes a shutdown. The following will qualify as a shutdown: - An official directive from the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) ordering heads of affected agencies to execute shutdown plans (e.g., an instruction to "execute plans for an orderly shutdown") that is in effect by the specified date and time - An official operating status published by the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) indicating that, due to a lapse in appropriations, federal government operations are suspended, reduced, or vary by agency (e.g., a notice that "due to a partial lapse in appropriations, Federal Government operations vary by agency") The following will not qualify as a shutdown: - A technical lapse in appropriations where OMB or other authorized authority directs agencies to continue normal or substantially normal operations - Government closures or operating status changes resulting solely from Federal holidays, inclement weather, natural disasters, or other emergencies, unless such closures coincide with a qualifying shutdown caused by a lapse in appropriations The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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