예측

예측 허브
폴리마켓날씨$847 · D-25

PHIVOLCS raises Mayon to Alert Level 4 by...?

PHIVOLCS raises Mayon to Alert Level 4 by...?

온톨로지 접합 →

LEADING

54.0%

November 30, 2026

  • November 30, 2026+7.0pp54.0%
  • November 15, 2026+10.0pp47.0%
  • November 7, 202611.5%

TRAINING TICKET

가상 자금. 환금되지 않습니다. 지정가는 호가가 닿을 때까지 자금을 예약합니다.

잔고 $1000

포트폴리오 · 대기 주문

SYNTHETIC CLOB

스프레드 6¢

교육용 합성 호가창입니다. 실제 주문장에 연결하지 않습니다.

매수

  • 51¢28
  • 50¢24
  • 49¢19
  • 47¢9
  • 46¢7
  • 45¢3
  • 44¢3
  • 43¢2

매도

  • 57¢28
  • 58¢26
  • 59¢14
  • 61¢12
  • 62¢7
  • 63¢3
  • 64¢3
  • 65¢2

GAMMA INDEX

Polymarket Gamma 공개 호가. 원천 베팅 사이트로 보내지 않습니다.

거래량
$847
24시간
$36
유동성
$412
해소
2026.12.01
결과 합
112.5%
오버라운드
+12.5pp
scienceweathervolcanoesphilippinesnatural-disastersvolcanic-eruptionclimate-scienceweather-science

RESOLUTION

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (PHIVOLCS) raises Mayon Volcano to Alert Level 4 or higher at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A raise directly to Alert Level 5 qualifies. A qualifying raise counts even if PHIVOLCS later lowers the alert level. Statements that the alert level may be raised, evacuation orders, and declarations by other agencies or local governments will not be considered for resolution. Resolution turns on the time PHIVOLCS issues the bulletin or advisory raising the alert level, not the time of the underlying volcanic activity. The resolution source for this market will be official PHIVOLCS Mayon Volcano bulletins and advisories (https://wovodat.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph/bulletin/list-of-bulletin). Please note that this market is about the alert level according to PHIVOLCS, not according to any other sources.

유사 마켓