예측

예측 허브
폴리마켓정치$2193 · D-238

New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?

New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?

온톨로지 접합 →

LEADING

76.5%

June 30, 2027

  • June 30, 2027+14.5pp76.5%
  • March 31, 2027-6.0pp28.5%
  • January 31, 202713.5%

TRAINING TICKET

가상 자금. 환금되지 않습니다. 지정가는 호가가 닿을 때까지 자금을 예약합니다.

잔고 $1000

포트폴리오 · 대기 주문

SYNTHETIC CLOB

스프레드 1¢

교육용 합성 호가창입니다. 실제 주문장에 연결하지 않습니다.

매수

  • 76¢392
  • 75¢331
  • 74¢266
  • 72¢127
  • 71¢104
  • 70¢48
  • 69¢41
  • 68¢33

매도

  • 77¢392
  • 78¢368
  • 80¢194
  • 81¢175
  • 82¢94
  • 83¢48
  • 84¢45
  • 86¢24

GAMMA INDEX

Polymarket Gamma 공개 호가. 원천 베팅 사이트로 보내지 않습니다.

거래량
$2193
24시간
$2193
유동성
$1.0만
해소
2027.07.01
결과 합
118.5%
오버라운드
+18.5pp
trumpcongresspoliticstrump-cabinettrump-presidencycabinet-shakeup

RESOLUTION

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 120th United States Senate confirms any individual nominated by President Trump to a Cabinet-level position or as a Supreme Court justice, a federal appeals court judge, or a federal district court judge (including the district courts of Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, and the U.S. Virgin Islands) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes the Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President's Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. Confirmation of a Vice President under the Twenty-Fifth Amendment will qualify. Recess appointments, acting appointments, and confirmations by the 119th or any earlier Senate will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

유사 마켓