예측

예측 허브
폴리마켓금융$5557만 · D-57

2026년 연준 인하 횟수는?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

온톨로지 접합 →

LEADING

97.4%

0 (0 bps)

  • 0 (0 bps)-0.4pp97.4%
  • 1 (25 bps)+0.5pp1.1%
  • 2 (50 bps)0.3%
  • 3 (75 bps)0.3%
  • 4 (100 bps)0.1%
  • 5 (125 bps)+0.1pp0.1%
  • 12+ (300+ bps)-0.1pp0.1%
  • 6 (150 bps)0.1%

TRAINING TICKET

가상 자금. 환금되지 않습니다. 지정가는 호가가 닿을 때까지 자금을 예약합니다.

잔고 $1000

포트폴리오 · 대기 주문

SYNTHETIC CLOB

스프레드 1¢

교육용 합성 호가창입니다. 실제 주문장에 연결하지 않습니다.

매수

  • 96¢136,242
  • 95¢115,093
  • 94¢92,427
  • 93¢44,166
  • 92¢36,274
  • 90¢16,684
  • 89¢14,094
  • 88¢11,318

매도

  • 98¢136,242
  • 99¢127,882
  • 99¢67,219
  • 99¢60,729
  • 99¢32,647
  • 99¢16,684
  • 99¢15,660
  • 99¢8,231

GAMMA INDEX

Polymarket Gamma 공개 호가. 원천 베팅 사이트로 보내지 않습니다.

거래량
$5557만
24시간
$11.9만
유동성
$350만
해소
2027.01.01
결과 합
99.7%
오버라운드
-0.3pp
rewards-200-4pt5-50fed-rateseconomic-policyfedbusinesseconomyfinancekevin-warsh

RESOLUTION

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

유사 마켓