예측

예측 허브
폴리마켓선거$1.8만 · D-422

Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

온톨로지 접합 →

LEADING

28.5%

Ron DeSantis

  • Ron DeSantis+16.5pp28.5%
  • J.D. Vance+0.5pp26.5%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene+15.1pp20.4%
  • Ted Cruz-26.5pp19.0%
  • Rand Paul8.3%
  • Marco Rubio-17.9pp6.7%
  • Donald Trump Jr.-20.6pp4.9%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy4.5%

TRAINING TICKET

가상 자금. 환금되지 않습니다. 지정가는 호가가 닿을 때까지 자금을 예약합니다.

잔고 $1000

포트폴리오 · 대기 주문

SYNTHETIC CLOB

스프레드 1¢

교육용 합성 호가창입니다. 실제 주문장에 연결하지 않습니다.

매수

  • 28¢677
  • 27¢572
  • 25¢459
  • 24¢220
  • 23¢180
  • 22¢83
  • 21¢70
  • 19¢56

매도

  • 29¢677
  • 30¢636
  • 32¢334
  • 33¢302
  • 34¢162
  • 35¢83
  • 36¢78
  • 38¢41

GAMMA INDEX

Polymarket Gamma 공개 호가. 원천 베팅 사이트로 보내지 않습니다.

거래량
$1.8만
24시간
$3784
유동성
$1.7만
해소
2028.01.01
결과 합
125.0%
오버라운드
+25.0pp
politicselectionspresidentcelebrities2028-election

RESOLUTION

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, Donald Trump Jr., Glenn Youngkin, Vivek Ramaswamy, Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marjorie Taylor Greene. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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