예측

예측 허브
폴리마켓날씨$4.7만 · D-32

Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

온톨로지 접합 →

LEADING

3.9%

North Carolina

  • North Carolina-0.1pp3.9%
  • South Carolina3.6%
  • Mississippi-0.1pp3.5%
  • Louisiana3.5%
  • Alabama3.3%
  • New Jersey-0.1pp3.0%
  • Maryland2.9%
  • New Hampshire2.9%

TRAINING TICKET

가상 자금. 환금되지 않습니다. 지정가는 호가가 닿을 때까지 자금을 예약합니다.

잔고 $1000

포트폴리오 · 대기 주문

SYNTHETIC CLOB

스프레드 1¢

교육용 합성 호가창입니다. 실제 주문장에 연결하지 않습니다.

매수

  • 3¢667
  • 2¢563
  • 1¢452
  • 1¢216
  • 1¢178
  • 1¢82
  • 1¢69
  • 1¢55

매도

  • 4¢667
  • 6¢626
  • 7¢329
  • 8¢297
  • 9¢160
  • 10¢82
  • 12¢77
  • 13¢40

GAMMA INDEX

Polymarket Gamma 공개 호가. 원천 베팅 사이트로 보내지 않습니다.

거래량
$4.7만
24시간
$6
유동성
$1.7만
해소
2026.12.08
결과 합
51.4%
오버라운드
-48.6pp
weatherclimatehurricanehurricaneshurricane-seasonnatural-disasterweather-science

RESOLUTION

This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A market resolves to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply. Otherwise, that market resolves to "No". A hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall. The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline. If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to "Yes". Hurricane season runs from June 1, 2026 - November 30, 2026. Each market resolves based on the initial NHC (or CPHC) advisory reporting a qualifying landfall in the relevant state, regardless of any later retraction or reanalysis. Each market may only resolve to "No" after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, if an extension period applies, after December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if the conditions for a "Yes" resolution have not been met. If an active tropical cyclone at hurricane strength is over water per official NHC or CPHC advisories as of 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the relevant market(s) will operate under an extension period of 7 days, and the resolution date will move to December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; a qualifying landfall by that hurricane during the extension period will count toward resolution. If a qualifying landfall occurs within a market's timeframe (including any extension period) but has not yet been confirmed by an NHC or CPHC advisory by the resolution date, that market will remain open until such an advisory is issued.

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