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폴리마켓날씨$387만 · D-116

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

온톨로지 접합 →

LEADING

88.0%

1

  • 188.0%
  • 2+3.0pp12.5%
  • 30.1%
  • 4-0.1pp0.1%
  • 5-0.1pp0.1%
  • 6 or lower0.1%

TRAINING TICKET

가상 자금. 환금되지 않습니다. 지정가는 호가가 닿을 때까지 자금을 예약합니다.

잔고 $1000

포트폴리오 · 대기 주문

SYNTHETIC CLOB

스프레드 1¢

교육용 합성 호가창입니다. 실제 주문장에 연결하지 않습니다.

매수

  • 87¢9,461
  • 86¢7,992
  • 85¢6,418
  • 84¢3,067
  • 83¢2,519
  • 81¢1,159
  • 80¢979
  • 79¢786

매도

  • 89¢9,461
  • 90¢8,880
  • 91¢4,668
  • 92¢4,217
  • 93¢2,267
  • 95¢1,159
  • 96¢1,087
  • 97¢572

GAMMA INDEX

Polymarket Gamma 공개 호가. 원천 베팅 사이트로 보내지 않습니다.

거래량
$387만
24시간
$1476
유동성
$24.3만
해소
2027.03.02
결과 합
100.8%
오버라운드
+0.8pp
weather-sciencepop-cultureglobal-tempweatherclimate-science

RESOLUTION

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data. Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc. If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies. This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

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